⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
José Suarez
José Suarez LHP ATH
9 matchups scored · 1 game days
2 HRs Allowed
22.2% HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
·
HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
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HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
22.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
9
Pool Matchups
2
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
22.2%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 9 1 2 22.2% 2.0 95.5mph 108.4mph 30.0° 407ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 9 1 2 22.2% 2.0 95.5mph 108.4mph 30.0° 407ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 9 1 2 22.2% 2.0 95.5mph 108.4mph 30.0° 407ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
7 tracked BBE from 9 pool matchups
95.5
110.9
4
0
108.4
30.0°
407
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-03-31 Max Muncy 110.9mph 108.1mph 34° 410ft Yes
2026-03-31 Shea Langeliers 108.8mph 108.8mph 26° 404ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
1 days · 2 total HRs
HRs Allowed
2 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-03-31 Shea Langeliers #136 50 Truist Park 108.8mph 26.0° 404.0ft
2026-03-31 Max Muncy #150 48 Truist Park 108.1mph 34.0° 410.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 244 40.1% +0.7 82.3 30.0° 1
Changeup 170 27.9% +0.1 83.1 6.0° 0
Slider 131 21.5% -0.3 81.1 16.2° 0
Sinker 57 9.4% -0.3 81.9 2.5° 0
All Scored Matchups
9 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-03-31 Luis Urias #199 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-31 Jacob Wilson #186 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 JJ Bleday #170 40 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 Brent Rooker #159 47 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 Lawrence Butler #152 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Max Muncy #150 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-03-31 Shea Langeliers #136 50 🟠 C 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-03-31 Tyler Soderstrom #130 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Nick Kurtz #67 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
LD 3.2.91

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